Round 4 · simulation 1 · mcts-m3.m3-kor-mcts-index

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.060 to 16.12.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.12 (+0.060)
In: 16.06
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
1,014
In: 816
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.080.0002
Strategic Infrastructure16.3616.39+0.0252
National Security14.4114.44+0.0343
Human Capital16.9417.22+0.2801
Information & Influence15.4915.70+0.2033 → 2
Governance & Integrity15.8415.840.0004
Financial Strength16.0716.070.0005
Production & Innovation16.6316.630.0001
Trade & Investment16.6816.680.0002

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,014, plus 816 carried in. Maintenance 664. Spent 152 on actions (build 91, partner 61). 1,014 carried over.

  • PartnerNuclear Deterrence30 credits for 0.98 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 2.02 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education30 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation30 credits for 2.43 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.22+1.220.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.90+0.900.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.36+0.360.000.000.00
Nuclear Deterrence+0.33+0.330.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.27+0.270.000.000.00