Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.091 to 16.27.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.27 (−0.090)
- In: 16.36
- Rank by index
- 5
- In: 5
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 1,370
- In: 1,209
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.10 | 15.97 | −0.131 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.41 | 16.12 | −0.296 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.52 | 14.18 | −0.338 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.02 | 18.16 | +0.142 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.38 | 16.30 | −0.083 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.84 | 15.65 | −0.187 | 4 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 16.27 | 16.39 | +0.113 | 2 → 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.70 | 16.70 | −0.004 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.96 | 16.93 | −0.030 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,040, plus 1,209 carried in. Maintenance 726. Spent 153 on actions (build 61, partner 92). 1,370 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.64 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuildFoundational Education31 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection31 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity31 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −13.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +1.42 | +1.70 | 0.00 | −0.28 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.72 | +0.87 | 0.00 | −0.16 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.69 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.65 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.56 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.56 | +0.01 |