Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.153 to 16.19.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.19 (+0.153)
- In: 16.03
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 1,764
- In: 1,573
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.04 | 16.09 | +0.048 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.21 | 15.50 | +0.284 | 2 |
| National Security | 12.93 | 12.94 | +0.013 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.31 | 18.43 | +0.127 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.04 | 17.18 | +0.140 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.67 | 15.97 | +0.307 | 3 → 1 |
| Financial Strength | 15.63 | 15.68 | +0.051 | 5 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.31 | 16.35 | +0.035 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.17 | 17.55 | +0.374 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,056, plus 1,573 carried in. Maintenance 701. Spent 164 on actions (buy 33, partner 131). 1,764 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance33 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics33 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication33 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence33 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResource Infrastructure33 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +14.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resource Infrastructure | +1.32 | +1.27 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.96 | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.02 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.87 | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.07 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.75 | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.71 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.07 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.65 | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |