Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 0 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.112 to 16.30.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.30 (−0.112)
- In: 16.41
- Rank by index
- 5
- In: 4
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 1,460
- In: 1,170
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.11 | 15.98 | −0.128 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.32 | 16.03 | −0.289 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.08 | −0.330 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.99 | 18.12 | +0.135 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.92 | 16.71 | −0.215 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.84 | 15.66 | −0.182 | 4 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 16.30 | 16.38 | +0.085 | 2 → 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.71 | 16.65 | −0.054 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.09 | 17.06 | −0.026 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,046, plus 1,170 carried in. Maintenance 755. Nothing spent on actions. 1,460 carried over.
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −13.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.72 | +0.87 | 0.00 | −0.16 | +0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.56 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.28 | +0.02 |
| Maritime Power | −0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.55 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.55 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.55 | +0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.54 | 0.00 |