Round 10 · simulation 1 · mcts-m3.m3-kor-mcts-tier1

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.092 to 16.56.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.56 (+0.092)
In: 16.47
Rank by index
3
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
1,859
In: 1,715
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0216.29+0.2663 → 2
Strategic Infrastructure16.0816.11+0.0272
National Security14.1014.10+0.0073
Human Capital18.2818.31+0.0311
Information & Influence16.9517.21+0.2681
Governance & Integrity15.6615.69+0.0265 → 4
Financial Strength16.4216.44+0.0191
Production & Innovation16.8616.93+0.0721
Trade & Investment17.8417.95+0.1111

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,078, plus 1,715 carried in. Maintenance 773. Spent 161 on actions (build 32, buy 32, partner 96). 1,859 carried over.

  • PartnerArtificial Intelligence32 credits for 1.32 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position32 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies32 credits for 1.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration32 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication32 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.83+1.820.000.00+0.02
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.88+0.880.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.71+0.710.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.67+0.660.000.00+0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.65+0.610.000.00+0.04
Economic Output & Productivity+0.36+0.360.000.000.00