Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.280 to 16.37.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.37 (−0.279)
- In: 16.65
- Rank by index
- 4
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 5
- Credits carried
- 1,852
- In: 1,788
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.55 | 16.34 | −0.205 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.13 | 15.69 | −0.439 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.11 | 13.60 | −0.512 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.35 | 18.29 | −0.058 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.38 | 17.18 | −0.193 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.75 | 15.59 | −0.162 | 3 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 16.48 | 16.30 | −0.172 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.95 | 16.57 | −0.377 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.16 | 17.76 | −0.401 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,087, plus 1,788 carried in. Maintenance 860. Spent 163 on actions (build 98, buy 33, partner 33). 1,852 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence33 credits for 1.49 levelsmctsahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
- BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power33 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights33 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFinancial Infrastructure33 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPopulation Health33 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −26.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power | +1.26 | +1.67 | 0.00 | −0.42 | +0.01 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.85 | 0.00 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.84 | −0.01 |
| Maritime Power | −0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.84 | 0.00 |
| Resource Infrastructure | −0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.80 | +0.01 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.76 | +0.01 |