Round 4 · simulation 6 · mcts-m3.m3-kor-mcts-tier1

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 6 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.171 to 16.20.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.20 (+0.171)
In: 16.03
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 2
Credits carried
734
In: 547
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9915.99−0.0023
Strategic Infrastructure16.2116.20−0.0072
National Security14.2114.23+0.0273
Human Capital17.6918.15+0.4631
Information & Influence15.4716.31+0.8402 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.6815.68−0.0025
Financial Strength15.8115.89+0.0755
Production & Innovation16.5316.53−0.0031
Trade & Investment16.6916.83+0.1442 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,004, plus 547 carried in. Maintenance 667. Spent 151 on actions (buy 30, partner 120). 734 carried over.

  • PartnerNuclear Deterrence30 credits for 0.97 levelsmctsahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation30 credits for 1.93 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance30 credits for 1.99 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+2.19+2.190.000.00−0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.99+1.990.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.45+1.450.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.30+1.300.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.00+1.010.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.87+0.880.000.000.00