Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 6 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover and AI labour shock, and the index −0.477 to 16.48.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.48 (−0.477)
- In: 16.96
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 7
- Credits carried
- 1,088
- In: 1,089
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.55 | 16.14 | −0.406 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.52 | 15.92 | −0.591 | 1 → 2 |
| National Security | 14.37 | 13.71 | −0.653 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.78 | 18.67 | −0.114 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.55 | 17.16 | −0.397 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.47 | 16.43 | −0.042 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 16.60 | 15.84 | −0.760 | 1 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 17.12 | 16.64 | −0.476 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.66 | 17.80 | −0.856 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,097, plus 1,089 carried in. Maintenance 934. Spent 165 on actions (build 132, partner 33). 1,088 carried over.
- BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability33 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Transparency, Oversight & Accountability by 0 per cent
- BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base33 credits for 1.43 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade33 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Justice System & Fundamental Rights by 0 per cent
- BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights33 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 0 per cent
- BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption33 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Resource Infrastructure by 0 per cent
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −34.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −21.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.42 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.36 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.31 | 0.00 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.09 | +0.01 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.08 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.08 | +0.01 |