Round 4 · simulation 10 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-greedy-10y

Round 2030

Round 4 of 10 in simulation 10 of South Korea, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.192 to 15.82.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.82 (−0.192)
In: 16.01
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 3
Credits carried
727
In: 550
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9615.69−0.2663
Strategic Infrastructure16.0315.47−0.5642
National Security14.3013.67−0.6253
Human Capital17.5017.96+0.4671
Information & Influence15.7715.71−0.0572
Governance & Integrity15.7015.35−0.3465
Financial Strength15.7615.83+0.0755
Production & Innovation16.4016.15−0.2461 → 2
Trade & Investment16.6616.50−0.1651 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,000, plus 550 carried in. Maintenance 672. Spent 150 on actions (build 30, buy 30, partner 90). 727 carried over.

  • BuildFoundational Education30 credits for 1.25 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.93 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance30 credits for 1.99 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 4 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection30 credits for 1.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −24.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.47+1.990.00−0.510.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.46+1.460.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.31+1.310.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.21+1.730.00−0.510.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation−1.020.000.00−1.01−0.01
Maritime Power−1.020.000.00−1.020.00