Round 4 · simulation 5 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-greedy-20y

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 5 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.232 to 16.30.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.30 (+0.232)
In: 16.07
Rank by index
5
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 2
Credits carried
758
In: 544
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9916.00+0.0043
Strategic Infrastructure16.2016.29+0.0952
National Security14.4114.49+0.0843
Human Capital17.6418.17+0.5261
Information & Influence15.5916.52+0.9332 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.8315.94+0.1084 → 3
Financial Strength15.8615.98+0.1155
Production & Innovation16.4916.52+0.0331
Trade & Investment16.6116.80+0.1862 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,035, plus 544 carried in. Maintenance 670. Spent 151 on actions (build 30, buy 30, partner 90). 758 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 2 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance30 credits for 1.97 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation30 credits for 1.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 1 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education30 credits for 1.10 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +4.7 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+2.29+2.140.00+0.16−0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.04+1.970.00+0.08−0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.49+1.450.00+0.040.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.32+1.300.00+0.040.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.08+1.040.00+0.04−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.03+0.880.00+0.160.00