Round 5 · simulation 5 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-greedy-20y

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 5 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.176 to 16.48.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.48 (+0.175)
In: 16.30
Rank by index
3
In: 5
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 4
Credits carried
869
In: 720
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0016.02+0.0183
Strategic Infrastructure16.2916.39+0.0962
National Security14.4914.58+0.0853
Human Capital18.1718.38+0.2101
Information & Influence16.5216.97+0.4511
Governance & Integrity15.9416.05+0.1103
Financial Strength15.9816.17+0.1965 → 2
Production & Innovation16.5216.63+0.1071
Trade & Investment16.8017.11+0.3101

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,044, plus 720 carried in. Maintenance 740. Spent 155 on actions (build 31, partner 124). 869 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.91 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 3 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity31 credits for 1.33 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 2 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection31 credits for 1.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.68 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 3 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence31 credits for 1.93 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 5 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +4.7 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.87+1.720.00+0.160.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.01+0.960.00+0.040.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.96+0.920.00+0.040.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.94+0.900.00+0.040.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.62+0.680.00+0.040.00
Advanced Education+0.54+0.510.00+0.040.00