Round 9 · simulation 10 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-greedy-30y

Round 2035

Round 9 of 30 in simulation 10 of South Korea, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.006 to 16.25.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.25 (+0.006)
In: 16.25
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 4
Credits carried
1,482
In: 1,317
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.7415.66−0.0853
Strategic Infrastructure15.5015.49−0.0162
National Security13.6513.650.0003
Human Capital18.5018.54+0.0471
Information & Influence16.5216.60+0.0831
Governance & Integrity15.6015.74+0.1413 → 1
Financial Strength16.1116.02−0.0951 → 2
Production & Innovation16.6416.61−0.0322
Trade & Investment17.9918.00+0.0091

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,085, plus 1,317 carried in. Maintenance 759. Spent 161 on actions (build 129, partner 32). 1,482 carried over.

  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls32 credits for 1.29 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 2 per cent
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption32 credits for 1.32 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Information Environment & Strategic Communication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication32 credits for 1.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Early Childhood Development by 1 per cent
  • BuildEarly Childhood Development32 credits for 1.40 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Population Health by 1 per cent
  • BuildPopulation Health32 credits for 1.41 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 1 per cent
  • Shock: AI labour shock S08. −16.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Global Value Chain Position+0.76+0.810.00−0.11+0.06
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.73+0.930.00−0.19−0.01
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.56+0.650.00−0.090.00
Population Health+0.49+0.560.00−0.06−0.01
Justice System & Fundamental Rights+0.46+0.510.00−0.050.00
Early Childhood Development+0.40+0.480.00−0.06−0.01