Round 5 · simulation 2 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-greedy-30y

Round 2031

Round 5 of 30 in simulation 2 of South Korea, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.125 to 16.24.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.24 (+0.125)
In: 16.11
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 2
Credits carried
897
In: 712
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9615.97+0.0113
Strategic Infrastructure16.0316.02−0.0052
National Security14.3014.29−0.0023
Human Capital18.0618.27+0.2091
Information & Influence16.1116.41+0.2942
Governance & Integrity15.7015.70+0.0025
Financial Strength15.9916.13+0.1425 → 1
Production & Innovation16.4016.46+0.0631
Trade & Investment16.5016.91+0.4092 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,023, plus 712 carried in. Maintenance 687. Spent 151 on actions (build 30, partner 121). 897 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity30 credits for 1.30 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection30 credits for 1.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 3 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence30 credits for 1.90 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Government Effectiveness & Public Administration by 3 per cent

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.73+1.730.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.04+1.050.000.00−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.94+0.950.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.89+0.890.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.80+0.810.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.68+0.680.000.000.00