Round 12 · simulation 9 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-greedy-30y

Round 2038

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 9 of South Korea, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.408 to 16.25.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.25 (−0.408)
In: 16.66
Rank by index
6
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 4
Credits carried
1,039
In: 912
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9615.81−0.1452
Strategic Infrastructure16.2515.57−0.6862
National Security14.4613.71−0.7543
Human Capital18.8918.84−0.0471
Information & Influence16.8816.84−0.0441
Governance & Integrity16.9316.86−0.0701
Financial Strength15.9115.22−0.6924 → 5
Production & Innovation16.5516.13−0.4252 → 1
Trade & Investment18.1117.29−0.8151 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,056, plus 912 carried in. Maintenance 786. Spent 143 on actions (build 57, buy 29, partner 57). 1,039 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance29 credits for 0.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 12 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade29 credits for 1.35 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Labour & Employment by 1 per cent
  • BuildLabour & Employment29 credits for 1.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies29 credits for 1.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Information Environment & Strategic Communication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication29 credits for 1.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −39.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 4 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.470.000.00−1.460.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.40+1.690.00−0.290.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.390.000.00−1.40+0.01
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−1.250.000.00−1.250.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+1.24+1.540.00−0.310.00
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−1.240.000.00−1.230.00