Round 2033
Round 7 of 10 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 10 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.016 to 16.60.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.60 (−0.016)
- In: 16.62
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 6
- Credits carried
- 963
- In: 865
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.30 | 16.36 | +0.058 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.37 | 16.09 | −0.272 | 1 → 2 |
| National Security | 14.43 | 14.11 | −0.324 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.31 | 18.37 | +0.061 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.29 | 17.26 | −0.032 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.85 | 15.67 | −0.182 | 4 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 16.48 | 16.51 | +0.031 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.96 | 16.92 | −0.042 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.57 | 18.13 | +0.556 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,090, plus 865 carried in. Maintenance 832. Spent 160 on actions (build 32, buy 32, partner 96). 963 carried over.
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies32 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade32 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence32 credits for 1.82 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance32 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position32 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −13.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.72 | +1.88 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.49 | +1.73 | 0.00 | −0.25 | +0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.85 | +1.07 | 0.00 | −0.28 | +0.06 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.77 | +0.92 | 0.00 | −0.16 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.60 | +0.75 | 0.00 | −0.15 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.55 | +0.70 | 0.00 | −0.16 | +0.02 |