Round 1 · simulation 10 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-10y

Round 2027

Round 1 of 10 in simulation 10 of South Korea, tree search, 10 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.170 to 15.83.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.83 (−0.170)
In: 16.00
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
200
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0815.96−0.1192 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.04−0.2722
National Security14.4114.30−0.1073
Human Capital16.4916.61+0.1191
Information & Influence15.4915.23−0.2673
Governance & Integrity15.8415.70−0.1414 → 5
Financial Strength16.0715.85−0.2255
Production & Innovation16.6316.41−0.2181
Trade & Investment16.6816.38−0.2992

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2027: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,014. Maintenance 662. Spent 152 on actions (build 91, buy 30, partner 30). 200 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.91 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.65 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 2.48 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence30 credits for 1.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation30 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −14.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2027, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.13+1.280.00−0.150.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.520.000.00−0.520.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.460.000.00−0.460.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.450.000.00−0.450.00
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure−0.420.000.00−0.420.00
Energy Infrastructure−0.420.000.00−0.420.00