Round 9 · simulation 10 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-10y

Round 2035

Round 9 of 10 in simulation 10 of South Korea, tree search, 10 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.054 to 16.44.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.44 (+0.054)
In: 16.38
Rank by index
4
In: 4
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
1,399
In: 1,271
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1316.18+0.0522
Strategic Infrastructure15.5815.71+0.1272
National Security13.6813.68+0.0023
Human Capital18.3518.31−0.0451
Information & Influence17.0017.36+0.3621
Governance & Integrity15.3515.28−0.0675
Financial Strength16.5216.41−0.1051
Production & Innovation16.7316.65−0.0811
Trade & Investment18.1218.36+0.2381

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,079, plus 1,271 carried in. Maintenance 789. Spent 162 on actions (buy 65, partner 97). 1,399 carried over.

  • BuyResource Infrastructure32 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence32 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication32 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection32 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy32 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: AI labour shock S08. −16.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+1.60+1.790.00−0.190.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.13+1.300.00−0.18+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.83+0.840.00−0.11+0.10
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.80+0.830.00−0.09+0.06
Resource Infrastructure+0.78+0.790.00−0.04+0.03
Digital & Services Trade+0.64+0.860.00−0.220.00