Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.158 to 16.17.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.17 (+0.158)
- In: 16.01
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 1,800
- In: 1,604
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.91 | 15.96 | +0.050 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.27 | 15.52 | +0.243 | 2 |
| National Security | 12.82 | 12.83 | +0.012 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.36 | 18.48 | +0.128 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.02 | 17.16 | +0.140 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.69 | 15.97 | +0.280 | 2 → 1 |
| Financial Strength | 15.67 | 15.71 | +0.046 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.17 | 16.21 | +0.035 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.17 | 17.66 | +0.492 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,048, plus 1,604 carried in. Maintenance 689. Spent 163 on actions (partner 163). 1,800 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance33 credits for 0.72 levelsmctsahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics33 credits for 1.85 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication33 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence33 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade33 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +14.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.95 | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.89 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Resource Infrastructure | +0.87 | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.86 | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.07 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.77 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.70 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.07 |