Round 15 · simulation 1 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-20y

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.180 to 16.35.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.35 (+0.180)
In: 16.17
Rank by index
5
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 4
Credits carried
1,915
In: 1,710
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9616.13+0.1742
Strategic Infrastructure15.5215.58+0.0662
National Security12.8312.82−0.0083
Human Capital18.4818.61+0.1221
Information & Influence17.1617.28+0.1191
Governance & Integrity15.9716.22+0.2551
Financial Strength15.7115.80+0.0842 → 1
Production & Innovation16.2116.32+0.1102
Trade & Investment17.6618.36+0.6951

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,086, plus 1,710 carried in. Maintenance 723. Spent 157 on actions (build 31, buy 31, partner 94). 1,915 carried over.

  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics31 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence31 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Labour & Employment by 2 per cent
  • BuildLabour & Employment31 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Global Value Chain Position by 1 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position31 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +2.9 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+1.61+1.610.00+0.04−0.04
Artificial Intelligence+1.37+1.360.00+0.04−0.03
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.90+0.890.00+0.04−0.03
Digital & Services Trade+0.89+0.850.00+0.040.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.70+0.730.00+0.04−0.07
Global Value Chain Position+0.68+0.630.00+0.040.00