Round 4 · simulation 7 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-20y

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Debt service reset, and the index +0.072 to 16.13.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.13 (+0.072)
In: 16.06
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
1,201
In: 981
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1516.19+0.0372
Strategic Infrastructure16.4016.45+0.0511
National Security14.4114.410.0003
Human Capital16.5616.94+0.3781
Information & Influence15.5315.55+0.0203
Governance & Integrity15.9215.97+0.0513
Financial Strength16.1116.14+0.0304
Production & Innovation16.7116.75+0.0431
Trade & Investment16.7416.78+0.0392

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,047, plus 981 carried in. Maintenance 670. Spent 157 on actions (build 126, buy 31). 1,201 carried over.

  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation31 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills31 credits for 2.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling31 credits for 2.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence31 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education31 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +2.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.35+1.310.00+0.040.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.61+0.540.00+0.070.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.55+0.510.00+0.040.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.41+0.370.00+0.040.00
Advanced Education+0.31+0.270.00+0.040.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.080.000.00+0.080.00