Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.106 to 16.24.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.24 (+0.106)
- In: 16.13
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 1,415
- In: 1,141
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.19 | 16.23 | +0.037 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.45 | 16.50 | +0.052 | 1 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.41 | +0.001 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.94 | 17.41 | +0.467 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.55 | 15.78 | +0.229 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.97 | 16.02 | +0.051 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.14 | 16.18 | +0.032 | 4 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.75 | 16.79 | +0.043 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.78 | 16.82 | +0.039 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,110, plus 1,141 carried in. Maintenance 678. Spent 157 on actions (build 94, buy 31, partner 31). 1,415 carried over.
- BuyLifelong Learning & Reskilling31 credits for 1.05 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills31 credits for 2.53 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence31 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation31 credits for 2.48 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education31 credits for 1.18 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.5 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.60 | +1.56 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.26 | +1.24 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.12 | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.72 | +0.68 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.54 | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Government Effectiveness & Public Administration | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 |