Round 12 · simulation 3 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-30y

Round 2038

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.103 to 16.18.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.18 (+0.103)
In: 16.08
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 1
Credits carried
2,601
In: 2,408
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.7515.77+0.0163
Strategic Infrastructure16.3416.36+0.0192
National Security14.3814.39+0.0083
Human Capital17.6017.71+0.1111
Information & Influence16.0416.18+0.1422
Governance & Integrity15.8015.800.0004
Financial Strength15.8616.01+0.1475 → 2
Production & Innovation16.3816.45+0.0752
Trade & Investment16.5516.96+0.4102 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,017, plus 2,408 carried in. Maintenance 673. Spent 152 on actions (build 30, partner 121). 2,601 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity30 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 3 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection30 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 2 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence30 credits for 1.91 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 5 per cent

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.00+1.000.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.96+0.950.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.88+0.880.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.85+0.850.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.81+0.810.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.75+0.750.000.000.00