Round 2049
Round 23 of 30 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.298 to 17.16.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2049 (the end of 2048) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.16 (−0.298)
- In: 17.45
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 7
- In: 7
- Credits carried
- 2,225
- In: 2,360
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.83 | 16.60 | −0.229 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 17.36 | 16.95 | −0.417 | 1 |
| National Security | 14.73 | 14.20 | −0.531 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.89 | 18.79 | −0.109 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.82 | 17.85 | +0.031 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 17.50 | 17.58 | +0.079 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.13 | 16.69 | −0.441 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 17.82 | 17.42 | −0.406 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 19.00 | 18.34 | −0.660 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2049: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,124, plus 2,360 carried in. Maintenance 1,091. Spent 169 on actions (build 135, partner 34). 2,225 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence34 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts
- BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights34 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability34 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildResource Infrastructure34 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity34 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −29.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.08 | +0.02 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.02 | +0.03 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | +0.01 |
| Maritime Power | −0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.91 | +0.01 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.91 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.91 | +0.02 |