Round 14 · simulation 8 · mcts-m4.m4-kor-mcts-index-30y

Round 2040

Round 14 of 30 in simulation 8 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.091 to 15.58.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.58 (+0.090)
In: 15.49
Rank by index
7
In: 8
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
2,799
In: 2,547
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology14.7714.78+0.0074
Strategic Infrastructure15.0715.17+0.0983 → 2
National Security13.1213.12+0.0013
Human Capital17.6017.65+0.0501
Information & Influence15.9515.97+0.0172
Governance & Integrity14.7414.79+0.0536
Financial Strength15.2315.28+0.0511
Production & Innovation15.8515.98+0.1372
Trade & Investment17.0417.44+0.4021

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,057, plus 2,547 carried in. Maintenance 649. Spent 157 on actions (build 94, buy 31, partner 31). 2,799 carried over.

  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure31 credits for 1.16 levelsmctsahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity31 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position31 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration31 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education31 credits for 0.99 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.95+0.940.000.00+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.94+0.920.000.00+0.03
Economic Output & Productivity+0.89+0.850.000.00+0.05
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.89+0.900.000.00−0.01
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.66+0.580.000.00+0.08
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.48+0.480.000.000.00