Round 2045
Round 19 of 30 in simulation 8 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.223 to 15.66.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 15.66 (−0.223)
- In: 15.89
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 3,170
- In: 2,984
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.15 | 15.08 | −0.071 | 3 → 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.30 | 14.89 | −0.413 | 2 → 3 |
| National Security | 13.20 | 12.61 | −0.589 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.91 | 17.99 | +0.080 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.05 | 16.41 | −0.645 | 1 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.19 | 15.13 | −0.053 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 15.17 | 15.17 | +0.005 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.06 | 15.92 | −0.145 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.94 | 17.77 | −0.175 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,072, plus 2,984 carried in. Maintenance 725. Spent 161 on actions (build 97, buy 32, partner 32). 3,170 carried over.
- PartnerFinancial Infrastructure32 credits for 1.63 levelsmctsahead of Financial Infrastructure by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence32 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption32 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEarly Childhood Development32 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation32 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −24.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 2; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 3; Information & Influence Tier 1 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.57 | +1.81 | 0.00 | −0.25 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.00 | 0.00 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.99 | +0.03 |
| Maritime Power | −0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.99 | +0.03 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.00 | +0.05 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.99 | +0.07 |