Round 2035
Round 9 of 30 in simulation 9 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.048 to 16.06.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.06 (−0.048)
- In: 16.11
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 2,295
- In: 2,109
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.12 | 16.01 | −0.107 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.32 | 16.27 | −0.051 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.44 | +0.033 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.39 | 17.48 | +0.094 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.50 | 15.57 | +0.073 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.84 | 15.76 | −0.077 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 16.07 | 15.94 | −0.131 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.65 | 16.53 | −0.117 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.68 | 16.53 | −0.149 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,014, plus 2,109 carried in. Maintenance 677. Spent 152 on actions (build 61, buy 30, partner 61). 2,295 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence30 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.29 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation30 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation30 credits for 2.43 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education30 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −20.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.10 | +1.22 | 0.00 | −0.11 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.92 | +0.96 | 0.00 | −0.08 | +0.03 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.38 | +0.46 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Nuclear Deterrence | +0.33 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.23 | 0.00 |