Round 2038
Round 12 of 30 in simulation 9 of South Korea, tree search, 30 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.467 to 15.42.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 15.42 (−0.467)
- In: 15.89
- Rank by index
- 8
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 2,320
- In: 2,104
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.67 | 15.35 | −0.319 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.04 | 15.29 | −0.748 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.51 | 13.73 | −0.783 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.55 | 17.48 | −0.067 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.97 | 15.66 | −0.312 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.47 | 15.08 | −0.388 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 15.43 | 14.80 | −0.630 | 5 → 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.04 | 15.55 | −0.487 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.30 | 15.83 | −0.466 | 2 → 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,003, plus 2,104 carried in. Maintenance 653. Spent 133 on actions (build 53, partner 80). 2,320 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance27 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity27 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection27 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence27 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade27 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −40.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.42 | −0.01 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.28 | 0.00 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.26 | −0.01 |
| Maritime Power | −1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.26 | 0.00 |
| Resource Infrastructure | −1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.21 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.15 | 0.00 |