Round 5 · simulation 3 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-goal-gap

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.051 to 15.76.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.76 (−0.051)
In: 15.81
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
957
In: 850
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.8015.74−0.0673
Strategic Infrastructure16.1716.09−0.0792
National Security14.4114.41−0.0023
Human Capital16.9117.31+0.4081
Information & Influence15.1215.11−0.0103 → 2
Governance & Integrity15.6215.51−0.1115
Financial Strength15.7015.50−0.1985
Production & Innovation16.2816.09−0.1842
Trade & Investment16.2516.03−0.2212 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 875, plus 850 carried in. Maintenance 636. Spent 133 on actions (build 53, buy 27, partner 53). 957 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Technologies27 credits for 0.97 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills27 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling27 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation27 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation27 credits for 2.20 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.4 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.31+1.420.00−0.100.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.11+1.310.00−0.210.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.94+1.100.00−0.160.00
Space Technologies+0.90+1.060.00−0.160.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.84+0.940.00−0.100.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.51+0.710.00−0.200.00