Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Market access opening, and the index +0.198 to 15.95.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 15.95 (+0.198)
- In: 15.76
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 1,129
- In: 910
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.74 | 15.99 | +0.253 | 3 → 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.09 | 16.18 | +0.085 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.40 | −0.005 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.31 | 17.87 | +0.554 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.11 | 15.48 | +0.374 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.51 | 15.61 | +0.097 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 15.50 | 15.60 | +0.097 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.09 | 16.16 | +0.070 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.03 | 16.29 | +0.255 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 985, plus 910 carried in. Maintenance 634. Spent 131 on actions (build 26, buy 26, partner 79). 1,129 carried over.
- BuyArtificial Intelligence26 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access26 credits for 1.99 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance26 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education26 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation26 credits for 1.91 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Market access opening S12. +14.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +2.09 | +2.06 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.72 | +1.69 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.58 | +1.42 | 0.00 | +0.16 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.39 | +1.31 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.15 | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | −0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.79 | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 |