Round 7 · simulation 3 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-goal-gap

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.201 to 16.15.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.15 (+0.200)
In: 15.95
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 1
Credits carried
1,270
In: 1,073
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9916.04+0.0502
Strategic Infrastructure16.1816.25+0.0782
National Security14.4014.40−0.0053
Human Capital17.8718.19+0.3241
Information & Influence15.4816.16+0.6722 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.6115.71+0.0975 → 4
Financial Strength15.6015.79+0.1895
Production & Innovation16.1616.30+0.1372
Trade & Investment16.2916.55+0.2643 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,024, plus 1,073 carried in. Maintenance 679. Spent 148 on actions (build 59, buy 30, partner 59). 1,270 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance30 credits for 1.99 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education30 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 4 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity30 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +4.9 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.02+1.990.00+0.04−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.15+1.000.00+0.16−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.99+0.960.00+0.04−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.92+0.880.00+0.040.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.91+0.870.00+0.04−0.01
Digital & AI Competence+0.79+0.710.00+0.080.00