Round 3 · simulation 7 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-goal-gap

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.064 to 16.09.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.09 (+0.064)
In: 16.03
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
880
In: 653
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1216.15+0.0362
Strategic Infrastructure16.3616.40+0.0421
National Security14.4114.43+0.0233
Human Capital16.5316.86+0.3311
Information & Influence15.5115.53+0.0173
Governance & Integrity15.8815.92+0.0403
Financial Strength16.0916.11+0.0205 → 4
Production & Innovation16.6716.71+0.0381
Trade & Investment16.7116.74+0.0332

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,046, plus 653 carried in. Maintenance 666. Spent 152 on actions (build 122, buy 30). 880 carried over.

  • BuildNuclear Deterrence30 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 2.48 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence30 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation30 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +2.1 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.31+1.270.00+0.030.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.59+0.530.00+0.070.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.53+0.490.00+0.030.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.39+0.360.00+0.030.00
Nuclear Deterrence+0.23+0.230.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.070.000.00+0.070.00