Round 4 · simulation 7 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-goal-gap

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 0 actions, Debt service reset, and the index +0.055 to 16.15.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.15 (+0.055)
In: 16.09
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
1,211
In: 836
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1516.19+0.0372
Strategic Infrastructure16.4016.45+0.0511
National Security14.4314.45+0.0223
Human Capital16.8617.06+0.2001
Information & Influence15.5315.55+0.0203
Governance & Integrity15.9215.97+0.0513
Financial Strength16.1116.14+0.0304
Production & Innovation16.7116.75+0.0431
Trade & Investment16.7416.78+0.0392

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,047, plus 836 carried in. Maintenance 672. Nothing spent on actions. 1,211 carried over.

  • Upside event: Debt service reset S11. +2.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.60+0.530.00+0.070.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.54+0.490.00+0.040.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.40+0.360.00+0.040.00
Nuclear Deterrence+0.23+0.230.000.000.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.080.000.00+0.080.00
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure+0.070.000.00+0.070.00