Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.199 to 16.13.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.13 (+0.199)
- In: 15.93
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 1,297
- In: 1,084
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.61 | 15.66 | +0.046 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.28 | 16.36 | +0.083 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.41 | 0.000 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.83 | 18.23 | +0.400 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.48 | 16.16 | +0.675 | 2 → 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.61 | 15.71 | +0.097 | 5 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 15.67 | 15.76 | +0.092 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.16 | 16.30 | +0.137 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.29 | 16.55 | +0.264 | 3 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,031, plus 1,084 carried in. Maintenance 670. Spent 149 on actions (build 89, buy 30, partner 30). 1,297 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance30 credits for 2.00 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education30 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity30 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +4.9 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +2.04 | +2.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.15 | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | −0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.99 | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.91 | +0.88 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Advanced Education | +0.82 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.79 | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.08 | −0.01 |