Round 8 · simulation 3 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-graph-leverage

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.178 to 16.30.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.30 (+0.178)
In: 16.13
Rank by index
5
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 2
Credits carried
1,397
In: 1,232
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.6615.71+0.0543
Strategic Infrastructure16.3616.45+0.0902
National Security14.4114.41+0.0023
Human Capital18.2318.49+0.2631
Information & Influence16.1616.49+0.3301
Governance & Integrity15.7115.80+0.0974
Financial Strength15.7615.91+0.1495
Production & Innovation16.3016.52+0.2142
Trade & Investment16.5516.95+0.4012 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,045, plus 1,232 carried in. Maintenance 726. Spent 155 on actions (build 62, partner 93). 1,397 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.88 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection31 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity31 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence31 credits for 1.96 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +4.9 points this round.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.77+1.740.00+0.04−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.08+0.910.00+0.16+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.06+0.980.00+0.080.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.94+0.860.00+0.080.00
Advanced Education+0.81+0.740.00+0.080.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.67+0.580.00+0.04+0.05