Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.097 to 16.26.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.26 (+0.097)
- In: 16.16
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 1,446
- In: 1,158
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.19 | 16.23 | +0.038 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.45 | 16.51 | +0.059 | 1 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.41 | +0.003 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.06 | 17.38 | +0.326 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.55 | 15.79 | +0.234 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.97 | 16.03 | +0.052 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.30 | 16.37 | +0.075 | 4 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.75 | 16.79 | +0.043 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.78 | 16.82 | +0.039 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,126, plus 1,158 carried in. Maintenance 680. Spent 158 on actions (build 127, partner 32). 1,446 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance32 credits for 0.71 levelsmctsahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills32 credits for 2.30 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling32 credits for 2.03 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education32 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation32 credits for 2.50 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.5 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.27 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.06 | +0.99 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.94 | +0.90 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.40 | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.31 | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.27 | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |