Round 6 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.123 to 16.32.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.32 (+0.123)
In: 16.20
Rank by index
5
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 2
Credits carried
1,262
In: 1,095
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.080.0002
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.320.0002
National Security14.4114.41+0.0013
Human Capital17.7518.12+0.3751
Information & Influence15.9016.38+0.4742
Governance & Integrity15.8415.840.0004
Financial Strength16.0716.12+0.0495 → 4
Production & Innovation16.6316.69+0.0621
Trade & Investment16.8216.96+0.1432 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,014, plus 1,095 carried in. Maintenance 695. Spent 152 on actions (build 91, buy 30, partner 30). 1,262 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance30 credits for 1.98 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity30 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education30 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.98+1.980.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.26+1.290.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.87+0.870.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.83+0.830.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.51+0.510.000.000.00