Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.070 to 16.25.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.25 (−0.070)
- In: 16.32
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 5
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 1,348
- In: 1,199
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.08 | 15.95 | −0.133 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.32 | 16.01 | −0.304 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.07 | −0.342 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.12 | 18.34 | +0.221 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.38 | 16.29 | −0.088 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.84 | 15.65 | −0.189 | 4 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 16.12 | 16.23 | +0.108 | 4 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.69 | 16.69 | −0.006 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.96 | 17.06 | +0.103 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,025, plus 1,199 carried in. Maintenance 724. Spent 152 on actions (build 61, partner 91). 1,348 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.86 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection30 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity30 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence30 credits for 1.87 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −13.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +1.41 | +1.70 | 0.00 | −0.28 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.77 | +0.94 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.71 | +0.87 | 0.00 | −0.16 | +0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.70 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.69 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.64 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |