Round 10 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.125 to 16.66.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.66 (+0.125)
In: 16.53
Rank by index
2
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
1,622
In: 1,490
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0516.36+0.3142
Strategic Infrastructure16.0316.06+0.0302
National Security14.0714.08+0.0063
Human Capital18.5118.54+0.0301
Information & Influence16.7517.12+0.3671
Governance & Integrity15.6815.77+0.0864 → 3
Financial Strength16.5516.57+0.0251
Production & Innovation16.9016.92+0.0261
Trade & Investment18.2518.49+0.2431

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,102, plus 1,490 carried in. Maintenance 808. Spent 162 on actions (build 97, buy 33, partner 33). 1,622 carried over.

  • BuildConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies33 credits for 1.50 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence33 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration33 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication33 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights33 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+2.44+2.430.000.00+0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.23+1.140.000.00+0.09
Digital & Services Trade+0.91+0.920.000.000.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.89+0.890.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.70+0.700.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.51+0.500.000.00+0.01