Round 9 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.133 to 16.53.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.53 (+0.132)
In: 16.40
Rank by index
3
In: 4
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 4
Credits carried
1,568
In: 1,393
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9616.05+0.0833 → 2
Strategic Infrastructure16.0216.03+0.0142
National Security14.0714.07+0.0033
Human Capital18.4618.51+0.0531
Information & Influence16.5416.75+0.2132 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.6515.68+0.0285 → 4
Financial Strength16.4116.55+0.1401
Production & Innovation16.8216.90+0.0771
Trade & Investment17.6718.25+0.5821

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,082, plus 1,393 carried in. Maintenance 750. Spent 157 on actions (build 63, partner 94). 1,568 carried over.

  • PartnerArtificial Intelligence31 credits for 1.29 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance31 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade31 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position31 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration31 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 2; Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.23+1.140.000.00+0.09
Digital & Services Trade+0.91+0.920.000.00−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.89+0.900.000.00−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.77+0.640.000.00+0.13
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.76+0.780.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.74+0.730.000.00+0.01