Round 15 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.166 to 16.33.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.33 (+0.166)
In: 16.16
Rank by index
5
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 4
Credits carried
1,704
In: 1,541
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2116.25+0.0392
Strategic Infrastructure15.4115.56+0.1492
National Security12.8012.79−0.0083
Human Capital18.5318.65+0.1221
Information & Influence17.1517.27+0.1181
Governance & Integrity15.9916.21+0.2231
Financial Strength15.6615.78+0.1252 → 1
Production & Innovation16.2116.25+0.0342
Trade & Investment17.5118.20+0.6941

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,080, plus 1,541 carried in. Maintenance 761. Spent 157 on actions (partner 157). 1,704 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics31 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade31 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position31 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +2.9 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+1.62+1.620.00+0.04−0.04
Resource Infrastructure+1.28+1.260.00+0.04−0.02
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.91+0.910.00+0.04−0.04
Digital & Services Trade+0.85+0.810.00+0.040.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.71+0.730.00+0.04−0.07
Global Value Chain Position+0.69+0.650.00+0.040.00