Round 16 · simulation 1 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.187 to 16.52.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.52 (+0.187)
In: 16.33
Rank by index
3
In: 5
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 5
Credits carried
1,740
In: 1,619
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2516.29+0.0402
Strategic Infrastructure15.5615.62+0.0632
National Security12.7912.78−0.0173
Human Capital18.6518.77+0.1171
Information & Influence17.2717.53+0.2631
Governance & Integrity16.2116.44+0.2251
Financial Strength15.7816.19+0.4111
Production & Innovation16.2516.37+0.1282 → 1
Trade & Investment18.2018.65+0.4521

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,092, plus 1,619 carried in. Maintenance 809. Spent 162 on actions (build 65, buy 32, partner 65). 1,740 carried over.

  • BuildLabour & Employment32 credits for 1.67 levelsmctsahead of Transparency, Oversight & Accountability by 0 per cent
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability32 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access32 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy32 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power32 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +2.9 points this round.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.69+1.600.00+0.02+0.06
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.87+0.830.00+0.02+0.02
Digital & Services Trade+0.87+0.810.00+0.04+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.74+0.650.00+0.04+0.05
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.71+0.660.00+0.04+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.69+0.690.00+0.04−0.04