Round 4 · simulation 3 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.087 to 15.81.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.81 (−0.088)
In: 15.90
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
895
In: 810
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9215.75−0.1683
Strategic Infrastructure16.2416.17−0.0742
National Security14.4114.410.0003
Human Capital16.6817.02+0.3391
Information & Influence15.3115.12−0.1893
Governance & Integrity15.7315.62−0.1105
Financial Strength15.8915.70−0.1945
Production & Innovation16.4616.28−0.1772
Trade & Investment16.4716.25−0.2152

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 884, plus 810 carried in. Maintenance 647. Spent 152 on actions (build 91, buy 30, partner 30). 895 carried over.

  • PartnerLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence30 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education30 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation30 credits for 1.02 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.4 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.94+1.040.00−0.100.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.92+1.020.00−0.100.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.75+0.960.00−0.210.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.53+0.740.00−0.200.00
Digital & Services Trade−0.370.000.00−0.370.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.330.000.00−0.31−0.02