Round 12 · simulation 3 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.079 to 16.87.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.87 (+0.079)
In: 16.79
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 5
Credits carried
1,397
In: 1,401
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.3416.36+0.0282
Strategic Infrastructure16.4516.50+0.0531
National Security14.4114.43+0.0173
Human Capital18.4918.58+0.0971
Information & Influence17.7117.86+0.1431
Governance & Integrity15.8615.99+0.1233
Financial Strength16.3816.38+0.0061
Production & Innovation16.8116.94+0.1262 → 1
Trade & Investment18.6518.77+0.1181

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,088, plus 1,401 carried in. Maintenance 930. Spent 163 on actions (build 98, partner 65). 1,397 carried over.

  • PartnerLabour & Employment33 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts
  • BuildEarly Childhood Development33 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics33 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights33 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation33 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Labour & Employment+0.72+0.690.000.00+0.03
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.66+0.650.000.00+0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.64+0.580.000.00+0.06
Justice System & Fundamental Rights+0.51+0.510.000.000.00
Early Childhood Development+0.45+0.450.000.000.00
Population Health+0.29+0.290.000.000.00