Round 16 · simulation 3 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.212 to 17.38.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.38 (+0.211)
In: 17.16
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
906
In: 996
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.4316.54+0.1142
Strategic Infrastructure16.8317.20+0.3661
National Security14.4714.47+0.0043
Human Capital18.9919.14+0.1461
Information & Influence18.0418.30+0.2631
Governance & Integrity16.9117.40+0.4881
Financial Strength16.6516.77+0.1201
Production & Innovation17.2417.53+0.2851
Trade & Investment18.9119.03+0.1191

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,090, plus 996 carried in. Maintenance 1,016. Spent 163 on actions (build 131, buy 33). 906 carried over.

  • BuildCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy33 credits for 1.50 levelsmctsahead of Resource Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability33 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLabour & Employment33 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildResource Infrastructure33 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure33 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +31.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Resource Infrastructure+1.31+1.110.00+0.200.00
Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption+0.89+0.780.00+0.10+0.02
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability+0.88+0.780.00+0.10+0.01
Financial Infrastructure+0.84+0.740.00+0.100.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.83+0.770.00+0.05+0.01
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls+0.70+0.500.00+0.200.00