Round 2 · simulation 7 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 0 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.029 to 16.03.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.03 (+0.029)
In: 16.00
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 2
Credits carried
687
In: 335
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.12+0.0352
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.36+0.0422 → 1
National Security14.4114.410.0003
Human Capital16.4916.53+0.0361
Information & Influence15.4915.51+0.0163
Governance & Integrity15.8415.88+0.0414 → 3
Financial Strength16.0716.09+0.0195
Production & Innovation16.6316.67+0.0371
Trade & Investment16.6816.71+0.0322

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,014, plus 335 carried in. Maintenance 662. Nothing spent on actions. 687 carried over.

  • Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +10.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Transport Infrastructure+0.070.000.00+0.070.00
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls+0.070.000.00+0.070.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.070.000.00+0.070.00
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure+0.070.000.00+0.070.00
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure+0.070.000.00+0.070.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+0.070.000.00+0.070.00