Round 6 · simulation 7 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.150 to 16.39.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.39 (+0.150)
In: 16.24
Rank by index
4
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
1,600
In: 1,345
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2316.27+0.0382
Strategic Infrastructure16.5016.56+0.0541
National Security14.4114.41+0.0023
Human Capital17.4117.91+0.5031
Information & Influence15.7816.16+0.3862
Governance & Integrity16.0216.08+0.0523
Financial Strength16.1816.26+0.0854
Production & Innovation16.7916.84+0.0451
Trade & Investment16.8217.01+0.1872

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,112, plus 1,345 carried in. Maintenance 690. Spent 167 on actions (build 67, buy 33, partner 67). 1,600 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance33 credits for 0.96 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills33 credits for 1.96 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access33 credits for 2.04 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation33 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks33 credits for 1.89 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +2.5 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.51+1.440.00+0.070.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.26+1.240.00+0.020.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.06+1.020.00+0.040.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.02+0.980.00+0.040.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.97+0.940.00+0.020.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.72+0.680.00+0.040.00