Round 20 · simulation 7 · mcts-m5.m5-kor-mcts-marginal-return

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 7 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover and Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.286 to 16.88.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.88 (−0.286)
In: 17.16
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 6
Credits carried
1,043
In: 1,063
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.8917.05+0.1602
Strategic Infrastructure16.6216.13−0.4832
National Security14.3013.80−0.5013
Human Capital18.7318.54−0.1911
Information & Influence17.6517.41−0.2421
Governance & Integrity17.7117.49−0.2241
Financial Strength16.4116.07−0.3431 → 2
Production & Innovation17.7017.65−0.0521
Trade & Investment18.4517.75−0.6991

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,070, plus 1,063 carried in. Maintenance 929. Spent 160 on actions (buy 160). 1,043 carried over.

  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems32 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing32 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies32 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 1 per cent
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power32 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Structural Transformation & Complexity by 1 per cent
  • BuyStructural Transformation & Complexity32 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 3 per cent
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −22.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −8.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.18+1.400.00−0.23+0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.14+1.380.00−0.230.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.140.000.00−1.11−0.03
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.12+1.340.00−0.23+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.990.000.00−1.01+0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.920.000.00−0.93+0.01