Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 104 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Automated discovery step, and the index +0.317 to 16.52.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.52 (+0.317)
- In: 16.20
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 1,273
- In: 1,094
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.08 | 16.34 | +0.259 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.32 | 16.56 | +0.242 | 2 → 1 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.58 | +0.173 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.63 | 18.30 | +0.673 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.90 | 16.46 | +0.563 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.84 | 16.04 | +0.196 | 4 → 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.15 | 16.39 | +0.236 | 4 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.63 | 16.83 | +0.198 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.82 | 17.13 | +0.314 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,022, plus 1,094 carried in. Maintenance 691. Spent 152 on actions (buy 91, partner 61). 1,273 carried over.
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure30 credits for 1.05 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation30 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks30 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance30 credits for 1.98 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance30 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Automated discovery step S17. +39.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +2.08 | +1.98 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.49 | +1.44 | 0.00 | +0.17 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.44 | +1.09 | 0.00 | +0.34 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.16 | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.17 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.96 | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.96 | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 |