Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 104 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 0 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.115 to 17.20.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.20 (−0.115)
- In: 17.32
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 7
- In: 7
- Credits carried
- 1,210
- In: 1,190
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 17.31 | 17.27 | −0.042 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 17.17 | 16.99 | −0.177 | 1 |
| National Security | 15.03 | 14.97 | −0.060 | 2 → 3 |
| Human Capital | 19.01 | 18.94 | −0.065 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.70 | 17.53 | −0.174 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.68 | 16.69 | +0.004 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.04 | 16.85 | −0.191 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 17.58 | 17.45 | −0.128 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.36 | 18.15 | −0.203 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,093, plus 1,190 carried in. Maintenance 1,073. Nothing spent on actions. 1,210 carried over.
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −10.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice System & Fundamental Rights | +0.43 | +0.51 | 0.00 | −0.08 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.38 | +0.02 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.35 | +0.03 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.33 | +0.01 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.30 | +0.01 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.30 | +0.01 |