Round 2046
Round 20 of 20 in simulation 104 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 0 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.019 to 17.75.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.75 (−0.019)
- In: 17.77
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 7
- In: 7
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 50
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 17.48 | 17.46 | −0.022 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 17.49 | 17.49 | +0.002 | 1 |
| National Security | 15.20 | 15.13 | −0.065 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 19.20 | 19.17 | −0.026 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 18.21 | 18.27 | +0.060 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 17.66 | 17.66 | −0.001 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.38 | 17.46 | +0.081 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 18.46 | 18.41 | −0.044 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.88 | 18.72 | −0.154 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,089, plus 50 carried in. Maintenance 1,138 of the 1,189 needed, so 4 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over.
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −15.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial Regulation & Integrity | +0.92 | +1.01 | −0.01 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | +0.50 | +0.55 | −0.02 | −0.04 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.47 | +0.56 | −0.02 | −0.09 | +0.02 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.46 | +0.58 | −0.03 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.46 | +0.57 | −0.03 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Diaspora & Global Communities | +0.37 | +0.47 | −0.02 | −0.08 | 0.00 |